Italy U21 vs Bosnia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
18.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.1%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
15%
4.8%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 0
LUX
80%
16%
4%
|
81 | 23 | 58 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
WAL
2 - 1
ITA
17%
22%
61%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
RUS
3 - 2
ITA
28%
24%
48%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 1
GER
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2009 |
BLR
1 - 2
ITA
17%
22%
61%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Bosnia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
WAL
2 - 0
BIH
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
BIH
0 - 1
LUX
77%
15%
8%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
SVN
2 - 0
BIH
55%
23%
23%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2009 |
LIE
0 - 1
BIH
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 5 | 44 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
BIH
3 - 2
MNE
48%
24%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |