Italy U21 vs Belarus U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.1%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
SVN
0 - 3
ITA
16%
23%
61%
|
81 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
MDA
0 - 1
ITA
11%
22%
67%
|
81 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2004 |
ITA
2 - 0
NOR
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2004 |
SYM
0 - 3
ITA
14%
21%
65%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
ITA
3 - 1
POR
59%
22%
20%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Belarus U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2004 |
BLR
2 - 3
MDA
80%
14%
6%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2004 |
NOR
2 - 3
BLR
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
BLR
1 - 1
SWE
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2004 |
BLR
1 - 2
SYM
62%
21%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
BLR
1 - 1
CRO
38%
25%
38%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |