Italy U21 vs Belarus U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
11%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2004 |
ITA
3 - 1
POL
76%
15%
9%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2004 |
ITA
4 - 0
SWE
61%
22%
16%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
POR
1 - 3
ITA
51%
23%
26%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2004 |
GRC
1 - 1
ITA
37%
25%
39%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
ITA
0 - 0
DEN
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Belarus U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
POL
0 - 4
BLR
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
BLR
1 - 1
POL
35%
24%
41%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2003 |
MDA
0 - 2
BLR
20%
23%
57%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2003 |
BLR
1 - 0
CZE
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
AUT
0 - 2
BLR
35%
25%
40%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |