Italy U21 vs Belgium U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.1%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
SVK
1 - 4
ITA
15%
22%
64%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 4
ESP
32%
26%
43%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 0
NED
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 1
ITA
15%
20%
65%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2013 |
ITA
4 - 0
ISR
67%
20%
13%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
ISR
45%
25%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 0
CYP
74%
17%
10%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
ESP
18%
24%
58%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ISR
4 - 1
BEL
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
GRC
3 - 1
BEL
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |