Italy U21 vs Azerbaijan U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.2%
1-0
16.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.7%
14%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
14%
4.3%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
GRC
2 - 2
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 0
CRO
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
ALB
0 - 1
ITA
14%
23%
63%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRO
80%
15%
5%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRA
43%
28%
30%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Azerbaijan U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
AZE
1 - 1
ALB
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
FRO
1 - 0
AZE
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
CRO
3 - 2
AZE
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
AZE
0 - 2
GRC
14%
21%
66%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
GRC
4 - 1
AZE
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 69 | 31 | 0 |