Italy U21 vs Austria U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.2%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
ISL
0 - 1
ITA
16%
24%
60%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2006 |
NED
1 - 0
ITA
21%
24%
55%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2006 |
ITA
1 - 0
UKR
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
ITA
3 - 3
DEN
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2006 |
POR
0 - 1
ITA
40%
26%
33%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Austria U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
AUT
0 - 0
ISL
46%
24%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
AUT
0 - 3
GER
17%
23%
61%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
ENG
1 - 2
AUT
75%
16%
9%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | +2 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
AZE
0 - 0
AUT
22%
23%
55%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
POL
2 - 2
AUT
73%
16%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +1 |