Italy U21 vs Albania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
17.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
16%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
15.9%
5.9%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
ENG
3 - 3
ITA
39%
27%
34%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
GER
0 - 0
ITA
41%
27%
33%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2006 |
ITA
2 - 0
LUX
83%
13%
4%
|
82 | 23 | 59 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2006 |
ITA
0 - 0
CZE
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2006 |
ESP
1 - 2
ITA
49%
27%
24%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Albania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
ALB
0 - 3
ESP
13%
23%
64%
|
51 | 82 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
SVK
0 - 0
ALB
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2005 |
ALB
1 - 1
TUR
16%
21%
62%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2005 |
UKR
5 - 0
ALB
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
ALB
3 - 1
KAZ
38%
24%
38%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |