UEFA EC U21 Quarter-finals
Global 2-0
Italy U21 vs Albania U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17%
12.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
ALB
0 - 1
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1983 |
ITA
2 - 0
CYP
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
ROU
0 - 1
ITA
44%
23%
33%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1983 |
ESP
2 - 2
ITA
51%
22%
27%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1983 |
ITA
2 - 1
CSK
58%
20%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Albania U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1984 |
ALB
0 - 1
ITA
56%
22%
22%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1983 |
GER
1 - 1
ALB
69%
16%
14%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1983 |
ALB
3 - 0
AUT
63%
19%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1983 |
ALB
1 - 0
TUR
63%
19%
19%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 1983 |
ALB
1 - 1
GER
47%
22%
31%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |