Italy U20 vs Switzerland U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
ITA
6 - 0
QAT
82%
13%
6%
|
66 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
FRA
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
FRA
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
POL
2 - 1
ITA
38%
24%
39%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 3
POL
53%
22%
25%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Switzerland U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
GER
1 - 1
SUI
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
SUI
1 - 2
POL
30%
23%
47%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SUI
0 - 0
GER
22%
21%
57%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
POL
1 - 1
SUI
54%
22%
23%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
GER
3 - 2
SUI
76%
16%
9%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |