Italy U20 vs Syria U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
COL
2 - 0
ITA
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
AUT
1 - 1
ITA
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
ITA
1 - 3
SUI
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
GER
1 - 0
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
ITA
0 - 0
GER
48%
23%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Syria U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
SYR
1 - 1
CAN
21%
22%
57%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1995 |
RUS
2 - 0
SYR
70%
19%
11%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | +3 |
| 16 Apr. 1995 |
QAT
0 - 1
SYR
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1995 |
SYR
0 - 6
BRA
23%
27%
50%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1991 |
AUS
1 - 1
SYR
68%
20%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |