Italy U20 vs Czech Republic U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2022 |
ROU
1 - 2
ITA
14%
18%
69%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
ITA
3 - 0
SUI
67%
19%
14%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
POR
1 - 2
ITA
40%
26%
35%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2022 |
ITA
0 - 1
POL
58%
21%
22%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
NOR
0 - 5
ITA
27%
22%
52%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Czech Republic U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
CZE
2 - 2
GER
23%
22%
54%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2022 |
CZE
2 - 1
ROU
55%
21%
24%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2022 |
CZE
3 - 0
CRO
42%
23%
35%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
CZE
2 - 0
POL
31%
22%
47%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
POR
3 - 0
CZE
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | -1 |