Italy U20 vs Qatar U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.7%
5.5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
FRA
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
FRA
38%
25%
37%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2014 |
POL
2 - 1
ITA
38%
24%
39%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 3
POL
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
GER
0 - 1
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Qatar U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
EST
1 - 2
QAT
35%
24%
41%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ECU
0 - 1
QAT
72%
18%
11%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
QAT
88%
9%
2%
|
38 | 85 | 47 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
QAT
0 - 4
ESP
9%
18%
73%
|
38 | 79 | 41 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2012 |
LBY
2 - 1
QAT
56%
22%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |