Italy U20 vs Poland U-20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
GER
0 - 1
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2014 |
GER
0 - 3
ITA
63%
21%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
POL
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
5 - 0
IRN
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 1
GER
32%
25%
43%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Poland U-20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
POL
1 - 1
SUI
54%
22%
23%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
ITA
0 - 1
POL
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
POL
0 - 1
GER
27%
24%
49%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
POL
4 - 0
SUI
50%
23%
28%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
SUI
1 - 2
POL
40%
23%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |