Italy U20 vs Japan U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+58%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
ECU
0 - 1
ITA
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
MEX
1 - 2
ITA
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
CHE
3 - 0
ITA
23%
23%
55%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
0 - 1
CZE
44%
22%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
NLD
3 - 2
ITA
31%
22%
47%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Japan U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2019 |
MEX
0 - 3
JAP
57%
22%
21%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2019 |
JAP
1 - 1
ECU
36%
25%
39%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2019 |
COL
2 - 1
JAP
64%
19%
17%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2019 |
USA
2 - 1
JAP
45%
23%
32%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
ARG
1 - 0
JAP
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | -1 |