Italy U20 vs Hungary U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
14%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2009 |
ESP
1 - 3
ITA
74%
17%
10%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2009 |
EGY
4 - 2
ITA
34%
24%
42%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Sep. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 1
TTO
82%
13%
5%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2009 |
PAR
0 - 0
ITA
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 2
ESP
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Hungary U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
HUN
2 - 2
CZE
23%
23%
54%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
HUN
2 - 0
UAE
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
HUN
4 - 0
RSA
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
HUN
0 - 3
HND
45%
25%
30%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
HUN
0 - 2
CRO
47%
24%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |