Italy U20 vs Spain U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 0
LBY
73%
18%
10%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
ITA
1 - 1
SYR
67%
20%
14%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2009 |
ITA
0 - 1
GER
38%
26%
37%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
GER
5 - 0
ITA
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
SVK
4 - 0
ITA
34%
25%
42%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Spain U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 2
ESP
21%
23%
56%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2009 |
ESP
3 - 0
ALB
80%
14%
7%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
ESP
2 - 2
TUN
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
EGY
2 - 0
ESP
19%
23%
59%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2009 |
EGY
0 - 2
ESP
19%
22%
59%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | +1 |