Italy U20 vs South Korea U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
15.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1981 |
ESP
2 - 1
ITA
60%
19%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 1977 |
BRA
2 - 0
ITA
75%
14%
11%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1977 |
IRN
0 - 0
ITA
53%
22%
25%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1977 |
ITA
1 - 1
CIV
78%
13%
9%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
South Korea U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
POR
0 - 0
KOR
65%
19%
17%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1979 |
KOR
1 - 0
CAN
66%
18%
16%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
PAR
3 - 0
KOR
76%
14%
10%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |