Italy U20 vs Chile U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1987 |
NGA
0 - 2
ITA
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1987 |
BRA
0 - 1
ITA
83%
11%
6%
|
53 | 76 | 23 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 1987 |
ITA
2 - 2
CAN
75%
15%
10%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1981 |
ITA
0 - 1
ROU
59%
21%
20%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1981 |
BRA
1 - 0
ITA
79%
13%
8%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Chile U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1987 |
CHI
2 - 0
AUS
67%
18%
14%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1987 |
CHI
3 - 0
TOG
84%
11%
6%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1987 |
CHI
2 - 4
YUG
89%
8%
3%
|
52 | 6 | 46 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1987 |
COL
3 - 0
CHI
56%
24%
21%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 1987 |
CHI
5 - 3
PAR
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | +2 |