Italy U20 vs Canada U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
22.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
ITA
1 - 2
SYR
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
COL
2 - 0
ITA
62%
20%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
AUT
1 - 1
ITA
31%
24%
45%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
ITA
1 - 3
SUI
59%
21%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
GER
1 - 0
ITA
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Canada U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
CAN
0 - 2
COL
18%
22%
60%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2005 |
SYR
1 - 1
CAN
21%
22%
57%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2005 |
CAN
1 - 0
JAM
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2005 |
HND
0 - 1
CAN
36%
24%
40%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2005 |
MEX
1 - 2
CAN
65%
19%
15%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | +1 |