Italy U20 vs Canada U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1981 |
ITA
0 - 1
ROU
59%
21%
20%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1981 |
BRA
1 - 0
ITA
79%
13%
8%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
ITA
1 - 4
KOR
66%
18%
15%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 May. 1981 |
ESP
2 - 1
ITA
60%
19%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 1977 |
BRA
2 - 0
ITA
75%
14%
11%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Canada U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 1985 |
SUN
5 - 0
CAN
36%
28%
35%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1985 |
AUS
0 - 0
CAN
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1985 |
NGA
2 - 0
CAN
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1979 |
CAN
0 - 3
PAR
44%
25%
32%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 1979 |
KOR
1 - 0
CAN
66%
18%
16%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |