Italy U18 vs Malta U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.6%
Win probability
3.56
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.7%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.2%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.7%
3.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-62%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1981 |
MLT
1 - 5
ITA
24%
26%
50%
|
48 | 7 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Malta U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1981 |
MLT
1 - 5
ITA
24%
26%
50%
|
7 | 48 | 41 | 0 |