Italy U18 vs Morocco U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
53.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2000 |
ENG
2 - 1
ITA
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2000 |
ITA
9 - 0
AND
92%
6%
2%
|
56 | 5 | 51 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2000 |
FRO
0 - 6
ITA
1%
13%
86%
|
56 | 5 | 51 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2000 |
ITA
0 - 1
CZE
65%
20%
16%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2000 |
CZE
2 - 1
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Morocco U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
MTN
81%
14%
6%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
KOR
1 - 0
MAR
29%
23%
49%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
MTN
2 - 0
MAR
9%
19%
72%
|
57 | 27 | 30 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
FRA
18%
19%
63%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
FRA
18%
19%
63%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |