Italy U18 vs Spain U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 1990 |
ESP
0 - 2
ITA
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1990 |
ITA
9 - 0
MLT
82%
13%
5%
|
52 | 5 | 47 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1989 |
POR
0 - 0
ITA
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1989 |
ITA
5 - 0
SUI
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1989 |
ITA
0 - 2
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Spain U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 1991 |
MLT
1 - 1
ESP
25%
28%
48%
|
51 | 5 | 46 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1990 |
ESP
0 - 2
ITA
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1989 |
ESP
3 - 1
AUT
72%
18%
10%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1989 |
ESP
0 - 0
ROU
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1989 |
ROU
1 - 3
ESP
45%
27%
29%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |