Italy U18 vs Spain U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1987 |
MLT
0 - 4
ITA
16%
27%
57%
|
53 | 5 | 48 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1986 |
ITA
5 - 2
AUT
78%
14%
9%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1986 |
ITA
2 - 0
POR
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1985 |
ITA
4 - 0
MLT
82%
13%
6%
|
52 | 7 | 45 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1985 |
AUT
2 - 1
ITA
40%
28%
32%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Spain U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1986 |
LUX
0 - 4
ESP
16%
27%
56%
|
48 | 9 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1986 |
ESP
1 - 3
YUG
72%
16%
12%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1985 |
ESP
1 - 1
FRA
55%
24%
21%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1985 |
LUX
0 - 1
ESP
22%
29%
49%
|
49 | 10 | 39 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1985 |
FRA
1 - 1
ESP
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |