Italy U17 vs Ukraine U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.5%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
ISL
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
MDA
0 - 3
ITA
17%
23%
60%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
ITA
3 - 0
ARM
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
ENG
2 - 1
ITA
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2013 |
SWE
0 - 3
ITA
33%
25%
42%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ukraine U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2014 |
SWE
0 - 0
UKR
50%
25%
25%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
UKR
0 - 0
LVA
72%
17%
10%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2014 |
GRC
0 - 0
UKR
53%
25%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2014 |
UKR
5 - 1
LVA
69%
19%
12%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
POR
3 - 0
UKR
62%
22%
16%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |