Italy U17 vs Turkey U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
CRO
0 - 3
ITA
38%
23%
39%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 0
ARM
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ITA
7 - 0
AND
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 2
NED
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 1
BEL
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Turkey U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
SVK
3 - 0
TUR
26%
23%
52%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
TUR
1 - 1
NIR
67%
19%
14%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
TUR
6 - 0
SMR
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 13 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
TUR
0 - 2
NED
21%
22%
57%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ISL
0 - 3
TUR
22%
22%
56%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |