Italy U17 vs Turkey U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
29.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2017 |
GEO
0 - 2
ITA
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
LVA
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 31 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
ITA
3 - 0
MNE
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 2
TUR
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 1
ITA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Turkey U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2017 |
TUR
1 - 1
CZE
45%
23%
32%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2017 |
TUR
4 - 0
ARM
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2017 |
ISR
1 - 0
TUR
29%
23%
49%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2017 |
TUR
1 - 2
ENG
22%
24%
55%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2017 |
HUN
0 - 1
TUR
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |