Italy U17 vs Sweden U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2018 |
ISR
0 - 2
ITA
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
ENG
2 - 1
ITA
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 0
SUI
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2018 |
ISL
0 - 1
ITA
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 2
NED
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sweden U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2018 |
SWE
1 - 0
POR
19%
24%
57%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWE
42%
26%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
SVN
0 - 2
SWE
40%
27%
33%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
CYP
0 - 0
SWE
22%
23%
55%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
BEL
0 - 1
SWE
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |