Italy U17 vs Sweden U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
FRA
1 - 0
ITA
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
AUT
2 - 3
ITA
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
3 - 0
CYP
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 4
DEN
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRA
40%
24%
36%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
SWE
2 - 0
SUI
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
SWE
2 - 0
GEO
45%
25%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
BGR
0 - 0
SWE
35%
25%
40%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
SWE
3 - 0
MDA
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SWE
0 - 1
GEO
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |