Italy U17 vs Serbia U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 0
MKD
75%
17%
9%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 1
ITA
12%
19%
69%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
ESP
4 - 2
ITA
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
NED
29%
25%
47%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 1
SRB
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Serbia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2016 |
SRB
2 - 0
ALB
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 25 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
SRB
3 - 1
MKD
76%
16%
9%
|
50 | 27 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
SRB
0 - 2
NED
24%
24%
52%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
SRB
1 - 1
ESP
20%
23%
57%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 1
SRB
46%
25%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |