Italy U17 vs Serbia U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GEO
0 - 1
ITA
20%
22%
58%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
BIH
67%
20%
14%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
RUS
0 - 4
ITA
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
SCO
1 - 1
ITA
21%
23%
57%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
MKD
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 27 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Serbia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
MNE
0 - 2
SRB
14%
20%
66%
|
53 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2016 |
SRB
2 - 1
POL
46%
24%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
IRL
0 - 2
SRB
33%
25%
43%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2015 |
AUT
1 - 1
SRB
44%
24%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
SRB
0 - 0
LTU
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 28 | 24 | 0 |