Italy U17 vs Romania U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
14.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 0
TUR
58%
23%
19%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2018 |
CRO
0 - 3
ITA
38%
23%
39%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
ITA
3 - 0
ARM
73%
17%
10%
|
55 | 23 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ITA
7 - 0
AND
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 16 | 39 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 2
NED
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Romania U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2019 |
ROU
1 - 5
AUT
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
LTU
0 - 4
ROU
22%
20%
58%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
SRB
2 - 2
ROU
60%
21%
19%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ROU
0 - 0
HUN
20%
22%
58%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
ROU
1 - 2
SVN
30%
25%
44%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |