Italy U17 vs Romania U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
AUT
1 - 1
ITA
41%
24%
35%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
CZE
1 - 2
ITA
46%
24%
31%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2007 |
ITA
7 - 1
CYP
71%
17%
12%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 1
ARM
65%
20%
16%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
ITA
0 - 1
UKR
54%
23%
24%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Romania U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
ESP
2 - 2
ROU
71%
18%
11%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
GER
1 - 1
ROU
68%
19%
14%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
FRO
0 - 0
ROU
25%
24%
51%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2007 |
ROU
1 - 0
SWE
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ROU
0 - 3
FRA
29%
24%
46%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |