Italy U17 vs Montenegro U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 2
TUR
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 1
ITA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 1
ITA
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 2
NED
20%
21%
59%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
BEL
47%
24%
29%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Montenegro U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
MNE
0 - 1
SRB
12%
19%
69%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SUI
3 - 1
MNE
70%
19%
11%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2017 |
SCO
6 - 1
MNE
66%
20%
14%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
EST
1 - 2
MNE
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SVN
2 - 2
MNE
62%
20%
18%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | +1 |