Italy U17 vs Luxembourg U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2019 |
NED
4 - 2
ITA
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 2
ITA
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2019 |
ITA
1 - 0
POR
43%
26%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
ITA
4 - 1
ESP
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | +2 |
| 07 May. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 1
AUT
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
LUX
0 - 2
FIN
23%
20%
57%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
POL
7 - 3
LUX
71%
18%
11%
|
26 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2018 |
FRA
4 - 0
LUX
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
LUX
1 - 2
LTU
47%
22%
31%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2017 |
ROU
0 - 0
LUX
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +1 |