Italy U17 vs Lithuania U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
7.3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
ITA
2 - 1
UKR
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
ITA
0 - 0
RUS
50%
23%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2013 |
SVK
0 - 2
ITA
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ITA
1 - 1
RUS
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
UKR
1 - 2
ITA
29%
25%
46%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lithuania U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
SWE
3 - 0
LTU
73%
17%
10%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LVA
1 - 0
LTU
52%
22%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2012 |
LTU
0 - 0
NED
14%
18%
68%
|
30 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
LTU
74%
17%
9%
|
30 | 53 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ISL
4 - 0
LTU
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | -2 |