Italy U17 vs Latvia U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
ITA
3 - 0
MNE
75%
17%
8%
|
54 | 29 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 2
TUR
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ESP
3 - 1
ITA
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 1
ITA
56%
23%
22%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 2
NED
20%
21%
59%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Latvia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2017 |
LVA
0 - 1
GEO
27%
21%
51%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
LVA
2 - 0
MDA
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
RUS
1 - 0
LVA
72%
18%
10%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
BIH
3 - 0
LVA
64%
21%
15%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2015 |
AND
0 - 3
LVA
25%
23%
52%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |