Italy U17 vs Republic of Ireland U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
GRC
0 - 2
ITA
12%
21%
67%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ITA
4 - 0
FIN
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
ITA
5 - 2
KOS
85%
12%
3%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
NED
2 - 1
ITA
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
LUX
0 - 1
ITA
6%
16%
78%
|
62 | 26 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Republic of Ireland U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
NOR
1 - 1
IRL
36%
26%
38%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
IRL
2 - 2
BLR
76%
16%
9%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
IRL
4 - 0
ARM
86%
11%
3%
|
48 | 22 | 26 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
IRL
2 - 2
BGR
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
IRL
2 - 3
FIN
63%
20%
17%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |