Italy U17 vs Republic of Ireland U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
ITA
2 - 1
LVA
76%
15%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2004 |
ITA
3 - 0
POL
67%
18%
15%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +2 |
| 25 Mar. 2004 |
SRB
1 - 1
ITA
35%
24%
41%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2004 |
ITA
1 - 3
TUR
62%
20%
17%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2003 |
ITA
2 - 0
ISR
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Republic of Ireland U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2005 |
UKR
1 - 2
IRL
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2005 |
IRL
2 - 3
ENG
32%
23%
45%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
SRB
2 - 1
IRL
60%
20%
20%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
IRL
2 - 1
NIR
56%
22%
23%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2004 |
LTU
0 - 5
IRL
50%
23%
27%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +2 |