Italy U17 vs England U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
47.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
GER
2 - 2
ITA
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
SVK
0 - 2
ITA
23%
23%
55%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 0
UKR
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2014 |
ITA
1 - 1
ISL
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
MDA
0 - 3
ITA
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
England U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
RUS
1 - 2
ENG
20%
22%
58%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
ENG
3 - 1
SVN
77%
15%
8%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ENG
3 - 1
NOR
73%
17%
10%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 3
ENG
37%
24%
40%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2014 |
MKD
0 - 1
ENG
12%
18%
70%
|
62 | 28 | 34 | 0 |