Italy U17 vs Netherlands U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
49%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 1
BEL
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ITA
1 - 0
SWE
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
ISR
0 - 2
ITA
34%
26%
40%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
ENG
2 - 1
ITA
72%
17%
11%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2018 |
ITA
2 - 0
SUI
53%
24%
23%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2018 |
ENG
0 - 0
NED
53%
22%
25%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2018 |
NED
1 - 1
IRL
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
NED
2 - 0
SRB
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2018 |
NED
2 - 0
ESP
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GER
0 - 3
NED
57%
21%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |