Italy U17 vs North Macedonia Under 17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
ALB
0 - 1
ITA
12%
19%
69%
|
52 | 25 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
ESP
4 - 2
ITA
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
ITA
0 - 1
NED
29%
25%
47%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 1
SRB
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
GEO
0 - 1
ITA
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
North Macedonia Under 17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2016 |
SRB
3 - 1
MKD
76%
16%
9%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2015 |
MKD
0 - 0
BGR
28%
23%
50%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 0
MKD
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
SCO
3 - 0
MKD
69%
19%
12%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
MKD
1 - 2
CYP
40%
23%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | -1 |