Italy U17 vs Denmark U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2010 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRA
40%
24%
36%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2010 |
SVN
2 - 3
ITA
20%
24%
57%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2010 |
ITA
1 - 0
CYP
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 0
ITA
31%
26%
43%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2009 |
GRC
0 - 0
ITA
33%
25%
42%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2011 |
DEN
0 - 2
GER
19%
22%
58%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2011 |
DEN
1 - 0
FRA
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
DEN
2 - 0
ENG
21%
23%
56%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
SRB
2 - 3
DEN
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
GRC
0 - 1
DEN
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |