Italy U17 vs Cyprus U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
ITA
2 - 2
IRL
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
GRC
0 - 2
ITA
12%
21%
67%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ITA
4 - 0
FIN
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
ITA
5 - 2
KOS
85%
12%
3%
|
62 | 32 | 30 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
NED
2 - 1
ITA
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cyprus U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
CYP
2 - 4
UKR
18%
22%
60%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2022 |
CYP
1 - 3
SRB
9%
19%
72%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
GIB
0 - 2
CYP
12%
20%
68%
|
32 | 16 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2021 |
MDA
0 - 1
CYP
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
FRA
1 - 1
CYP
83%
12%
6%
|
31 | 61 | 30 | 0 |