Italy U17 vs Bulgaria U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2015 |
CRO
1 - 0
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
FRA
3 - 0
ITA
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
NED
1 - 1
ITA
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
IRL
0 - 2
ITA
25%
25%
51%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 1
ENG
28%
25%
48%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bulgaria U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2015 |
AUT
1 - 1
BGR
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
BGR
1 - 2
ESP
8%
17%
76%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2015 |
BGR
0 - 2
CRO
13%
21%
66%
|
38 | 57 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2013 |
MKD
2 - 1
BGR
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BGR
0 - 3
POL
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -3 |