Italy U17 vs Albania U17s analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Italy U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2019 |
TUR
0 - 4
ITA
16%
22%
62%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
ITA
2 - 0
NIR
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2019 |
ITA
6 - 0
LUX
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 24 | 38 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
NLD
4 - 2
ITA
51%
24%
25%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2019 |
FRA
1 - 2
ITA
45%
25%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Albania U17s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
ALB
0 - 0
GEO
27%
21%
51%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
UKR
2 - 0
ALB
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
PRT
4 - 0
ALB
79%
14%
7%
|
25 | 58 | 33 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2018 |
ALB
1 - 0
AZE
26%
21%
53%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
NOR
3 - 1
ALB
72%
17%
11%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | 0 |