Conmebol Sudamericana 1/32
Global 6-2
Águilas Doradas vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
14.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
CUC
1 - 2
AGU
28%
28%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2013 |
TOL
0 - 1
AGU
56%
23%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
AGU
1 - 2
NAC
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2013 |
PAS
0 - 1
AGU
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2013 |
AGU
2 - 3
PAS
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
AUR
6 - 1
CIE
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
HUA
2 - 1
AUR
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
AUR
0 - 1
SAM
58%
24%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
VAL
2 - 2
AUR
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2013 |
AUR
3 - 1
GAL
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |