Águilas Doradas vs Jaguares FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
11.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
AGU
2 - 0
UNI
68%
20%
12%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
IND
0 - 0
AGU
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
AGU
0 - 0
JUN
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
AGU
6 - 3
RIO
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
HUI
1 - 3
AGU
36%
29%
36%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
AME
3 - 1
JAG
57%
25%
18%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 1
ENV
38%
25%
37%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
JAG
3 - 2
UNI
57%
25%
18%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
JAG
1 - 3
IND
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
BOG
1 - 0
JAG
27%
29%
44%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | -1 |