Águilas Doradas vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 2
AGU
43%
27%
30%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ENV
2 - 2
AGU
41%
26%
33%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 1
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
AGU
2 - 1
PAS
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
PAS
1 - 1
AGU
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
IND
62%
21%
18%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
IND
1 - 0
CHI
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
AGU
2 - 1
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
IND
3 - 2
MIL
51%
25%
23%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
HUI
1 - 1
IND
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |