Águilas Doradas vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Águilas Doradas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
ENV
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
AGU
59%
24%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ENV
2 - 3
AGU
41%
30%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 2
IND
37%
27%
36%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 1
JUN
39%
28%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
EQU
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 2
PAT
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
BUC
0 - 0
FOR
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
PAT
2 - 1
FOR
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 0
MIL
22%
27%
51%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +1 |